Fire Crux HybridTier 1
at 貓腳印高雄店 台灣南部地區 R 賽
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 26.2% | 8 | 4-4-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.4% | -3.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.5% | -2.6 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 70.0% | +15.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.0% | -1.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +1.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.8 |
| Water Allies | 3.8% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 62.0% | +9.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.2 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.2% | +14.6 |
| Fire Erupting | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.8 |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.1 |
| Wind Beast | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Wind Overlord | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Resolute Stand.
No cards correlated with losing.
Show all 20 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 19 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tether in Flames | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Library Witch | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incarnate Majesty | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Crux Sight | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Disintegrate | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Reprogram | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Chilling Touch | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Crimson Protective Trinket | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Spurn to Ash | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Freezing Steel | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Savage Slash | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |