← The Philippine Grand Archive MNL Regionals by Heralds' Peak - Wolves Den

SlimesTier 1

at The Philippine Grand Archive MNL Regionals by Heralds' Peak - Wolves Den

decks
22 (17.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
120 64-40-16
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.4% avg ELO +2.8 per match
expected value
55.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1313 · median 1310 · range 1037–1638 (22 pilots with an ELO rating)
989 Q1 1172 Q3 1416 1685
27% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 27% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Allies 14.3% 12 7-4-1 62.5% 59.4% 53.2% +1.4
Fire Aggro 10.3% 13 5-7-1 42.3% 44.1% 37.6% -5.2
Fire Crux Mage 9.5% 18 9-7-2 55.6% 54.5% 63.1% +5.1
Fire Crux Hybrid 7.1% 13 8-2-3 73.1% 67.6% 64.8% +6.2
Water Ravishing Mill 7.1% 10 6-4-0 60.0% 57.1% 56.3% +2.8
Wind Shadowstrike 7.1% 9 4-4-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.5% +0.7
Fire Arcane 3.2% 6 2-4-0 33.3% 40.0% 42.3% -4.1
Wind Beast 3.2% 5 3-2-0 60.0% 55.6% 53.1% +1.8
Fire Erupting 2.4% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 69.0% +14.2
Water Allies 2.4% 5 0-4-1 10.0% 27.8% 31.2% -10.8
Fire Lorraine 1.6% 3 1-0-2 66.7% 57.1% 62.0% +9.0
Fire Slimes 1.6% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 58.8% +8.5
Fire Tonoris 1.6% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 61.5% +11.1
Water Crux Merlin 1.6% 3 2-0-1 83.3% 64.3% 61.2% +8.4
Fire Crux Merlin 0.8% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 67.6% +13.1
Fire Luxem Assassin 0.8% 0
Fire Neos 0.8% 3 2-0-1 83.3% 64.3% 58.7% +6.5
Fire Umbra Ranger 0.8% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 52.7% +2.6
Water Astra Cleric 0.8% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.7% -2.1
Water Beast 0.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.2% +10.0
Water Crux Lorraine 0.8% 0
Water Overlord 0.8% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 64.8% +11.1
Water Tera Tamer 0.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.2% +10.0
Water Umbra Diana 0.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.5% +13.6
Wind Crux Lorraine 0.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.4% -13.8
Wind Neos 0.8% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 0.8% 0
Wind Tera Tamer 0.8% 0
Wind Tristan 0.8% 0
Wind Umbra Diana 0.8% 0
Decklists · 22 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 11 mirror matches (4 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).

Winners more often ran: Reprogram, Resolute Stand, Viridian Protective Trinket. Losers more often ran: Bestial Frenzy, Slime Eruption, Twilight Slime.

Played more by winners
Reprogram
Winning decks ran 3.4 copies on average, losing decks 2.3.
Of 11 mirrors: the winner ran more in 9, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Resolute Stand
Winning decks ran 2.2 copies on average, losing decks 1.5.
Of 11 mirrors: the winner ran more in 5, the loser ran more in 2, both ran the same in 4.
Viridian Protective Trinket
Winning decks ran 0.4 copies on average, losing decks 0.2.
Of 11 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 2, both ran the same in 5.
Beastbond Ears
Winning decks ran 0.4 copies on average, losing decks 0.2.
Of 11 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 7.
Scavenging Raccoon
Winning decks ran 0.8 copies on average, losing decks 0.4.
Of 11 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 7.
Slime's Blessing
Winning decks ran 0.7 copies on average, losing decks 0.5.
Of 11 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 2, both ran the same in 6.
Played more by losers
Bestial Frenzy
Losing decks ran 1.3 copies on average, winning decks 0.6.
Of 11 mirrors: the loser ran more in 5, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 5.
Slime Eruption
Losing decks ran 3.1 copies on average, winning decks 2.5.
Of 11 mirrors: the loser ran more in 5, the winner ran more in 2, both ran the same in 4.
Twilight Slime
Losing decks ran 1.2 copies on average, winning decks 0.8.
Of 11 mirrors: the loser ran more in 6, the winner ran more in 3, both ran the same in 2.
Slime King
Losing decks ran 1.4 copies on average, winning decks 1.2.
Of 11 mirrors: the loser ran more in 5, the winner ran more in 3, both ran the same in 3.
Gaia's Songbird
Losing decks ran 2.8 copies on average, winning decks 2.8.
Of 11 mirrors: the loser ran more in 4, the winner ran more in 2, both ran the same in 5.
Vampiric Slime
Losing decks ran 0.4 copies on average, winning decks 0.1.
Of 11 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 8.
Show all 45 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Reprogram +0.73 9 1 1
Bestial Frenzy -0.36 1 5 1
Resolute Stand +0.27 5 2 4
Slime Eruption -0.27 2 5 4
Twilight Slime -0.27 3 6 1
Viridian Protective Trinket +0.18 4 2 0
Slime King -0.18 3 5 3
Beastbond Boots +0.18 2 0 9
Gaia's Songbird -0.18 2 4 5
Tariff Ring +0.18 2 0 0
Beastbond Ears +0.18 3 1 1
Scavenging Raccoon +0.18 3 1 0
Vampiric Slime -0.09 1 2 0
Blissful Calling -0.09 2 3 6
Gather Slimes -0.09 0 1 10
Slime's Blessing +0.09 3 2 0
Backup Charger -0.09 0 1 10
Hymn of Gaia's Grace -0.09 3 4 1
Fast Cure -0.09 2 3 0
Turbo Charge +0.09 3 2 1
Tera Sight +0.09 2 1 0
Red Slime +0.09 1 0 0
Baby Red Slime +0.09 1 0 10
Baby Blue Slime +0.09 4 3 0
Blue Slime -0.09 0 1 0
Green Slime -0.09 0 1 0
Slime Totem -0.09 0 1 0
Effigy of Gaia -0.09 0 1 0
Verdant Slime -0.09 3 4 0
Academy Guide -0.09 0 1 0
Engineered Slime -0.09 0 1 0
Clockwork Musicbox +0.09 1 0 0
Deflecting Edge -0.09 0 1 0
Song of Nurturing +0.09 1 0 0
Meadowbloom Dryad -0.09 0 1 0
Safeguard Amulet -0.09 0 1 0
Ethereal Slime +0.00 2 2 7
Tithe Proclamation +0.00 1 1 2
Ordinary Bear +0.00 4 4 3
Slimeshield +0.00 4 4 3
Lustrous Slime +0.00 3 3 5
Baby Green Slime +0.00 1 1 9
Escape the Wreckage +0.00 4 4 3
Nullifying Lantern +0.00 1 1 6
Bedivere, Woodland Overseer +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/8110/archetypes/Slimes