← Yeti Gaming Online Regional MRC Season #2

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Gaming Online Regional MRC Season #2. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Erupting 2 1.2% 15 66.7% 52.5% 55.5% 51.2% 1454 ↑ top
2 Wind Shadowstrike 26 16.2% 114 57.5% 53.8% 53.5% 52.1% 1312
3 Water Lorraine 1 0.6% 8 50.0% 50.9% 53.3% 51.9% 1294
4 Fire Crux Lorraine 2 1.2% 14 64.3% 53.8% 53.2% 50.9% 1272 ↓ low
5 Slimes 29 18.1% 129 55.8% 52.0% 53.0% 51.1% 1377
6 Tera Tamer 1 0.6% 5 50.0% 54.8% 52.6% 52.7% 1153 ↓ low
7 Fire Crux Merlin 1 0.6% 8 56.2% 54.9% 51.9% 51.8% 1444 ↑ top
8 Water Ravishing Mill 14 8.8% 71 46.5% 47.8% 51.4% 50.4% 1321
9 Wind Crux Mage 1 0.6% 8 56.2% 50.3% 51.1% 50.1% 1345
10 Water Allies 6 3.8% 35 60.0% 51.5% 50.7% 49.2% 1322
11 Fire Arcane 1 0.6% 7 57.1% 54.6% 50.5% 51.3% 1517 ↑ top
12 Water Beast 1 0.6% 5 40.0% 54.2% 50.4% 53.2% 1153 ↓ low
13 Fire Crux Hybrid 8 5.0% 46 50.0% 46.7% 50.0% 48.5% 1381
14 Wind Diana 1 0.6% 2 25.0% 48.7% 49.4% 49.6% 1223 ↓ low
15 Wind Allies 14 8.8% 69 52.2% 51.1% 48.7% 49.6% 1302
16 Fire Crux Mage 12 7.5% 64 50.0% 48.5% 48.6% 48.7% 1354
17 Wind Umbra Ranger 2 1.2% 12 45.8% 51.0% 47.8% 50.8% 1385
18 Water Crux Lorraine 2 1.2% 9 44.4% 42.9% 47.5% 47.3% 1486 ↑ top
19 Wind Luxem Assassin 4 2.5% 15 33.3% 46.8% 46.4% 49.6% 1404 ↑ top
20 Water Neos 2 1.2% 8 37.5% 41.1% 46.0% 46.7% 1444 ↑ top
21 Wind Crux Lorraine 3 1.9% 14 50.0% 52.0% 45.4% 48.9% 1355
22 Water Slimes 1 0.6% 4 37.5% 47.0% 44.7% 47.6% 1470 ↑ top
23 Fire Aggro 7 4.4% 40 42.5% 49.5% 44.7% 48.4% 1276 ↓ low
24 Norm Tera Silvie 1 0.6% 4 25.0% 44.4% 44.4% 48.0% 1179 ↓ low
25 Water Crux Mage 1 0.6% 7 42.9% 44.4% 43.7% 45.7% 1567 ↑ top
26 Water Tera Silvie 1 0.6% 5 40.0% 46.7% 42.7% 46.1% 1376
27 Water Luxem Assassin 1 0.6% 2 50.0% 51.8% 42.5% 47.7% 1192 ↓ low
28 Water Dawn of Ashes 1 0.6% 8 31.2% 48.4% 42.3% 48.3% 1525 ↑ top
29 Fire Slimes 6 3.8% 27 42.6% 47.7% 42.0% 46.7% 1349
30 Wind Astra Cleric 2 1.2% 14 28.6% 47.8% 41.9% 48.8% 1152 ↓ low
31 Water Astra Cleric 2 1.2% 7 28.6% 46.9% 41.8% 47.0% 1295
32 Wind Umbra Diana 1 0.6% 2 0.0% 44.9% 40.0% 47.5% 1150 ↓ low
33 Fire Luxem Assassin 2 1.2% 6 16.7% 42.2% 38.9% 45.9% 1301
34 Fire Neos 1 0.6% 3 0.0% 41.2% 35.3% 43.5% 1188 ↓ low
35 Fire Zander 1 0.6% 3 16.7% 48.4% 34.4% 47.6% 1055 ↓ low