← Mortal Ambition - Indonesia Regional
SlimesTier 2
at Mortal Ambition - Indonesia Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 14.0% | 11 | 3-6-2 | 36.4% | 40.0% | 45.6% | -1.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.5% | 5 | 0-2-3 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 46.7% | -1.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.3 |
| Wind Allies | 6.5% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 60.7% | +6.2 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 5.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 59.0% | +8.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.4% | 6 | 0-6-0 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 24.7% | -13.5 |
| Fire Exia | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.8 |
| Water Allies | 4.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 42.4% | -5.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.2% | +3.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.6 |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.8% | +20.5 |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.4 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.8% | +4.6 |
| Fire Arisanna | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Fire Kongming | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
| Water Arisanna | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.8 |
| Water Kongming | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.5 |
Decklists · 11 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Entrancing Filigree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime King | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kind Beastcaller | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nascent Blast | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime Eruption | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdant Slime | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |