Mortal Ambition - Indonesia Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 1	13	14.0%	37-28-11	55.9%	51.3%	53.8%	51.3%	1427	↑ top
2		Slimes	Tier 2	11	11.8%	19-24-6	44.9%	50.7%	46.2%	49.1%	1246	—
3		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	7	7.5%	26-9-9	69.3%	59.9%	59.3%	55.2%	1429	↑ top
4		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	7	7.5%	26-17-6	59.2%	49.8%	53.7%	48.9%	1438	↑ top
5		Wind Allies	Tier 2	6	6.5%	14-16-4	47.1%	50.2%	49.4%	50.7%	1277	—
6		Water Tera Kongming	Tier 2	5	5.4%	0-11-2	7.7%	28.2%	41.2%	43.7%	1145	↓ low
7		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	5	5.4%	18-15-2	54.3%	58.1%	52.2%	54.5%	1278	—
8		Fire Exia	Tier 2	4	4.3%	3-8-0	27.3%	44.0%	38.9%	44.8%	1195	↓ low
9		Water Allies	Tier 1	4	4.3%	12-10-2	54.2%	55.8%	47.6%	49.4%	1286	—
10		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	3	3.2%	7-9-0	43.8%	53.3%	48.5%	51.1%	1335	—
11		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	3	3.2%	10-8-2	55.0%	58.4%	49.6%	52.6%	1413	↑ top
12		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	3	3.2%	8-5-2	60.0%	54.5%	51.7%	52.1%	1417	↑ top
13		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	3	3.2%	1-8-0	11.1%	28.9%	40.2%	42.2%	1141	↓ low
14		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	2	2.2%	4-7-1	37.5%	42.1%	45.9%	45.9%	1212	↓ low
15		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	2.2%	9-4-1	67.9%	54.9%	57.4%	53.5%	1383	↑ top
16		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	2.2%	5-5-3	50.0%	45.0%	49.4%	47.3%	1348	—
17		Fire Arisanna	Tier 3	1	1.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	32.7%	40.0%	42.2%	1118	↓ low
18		Fire Kongming	Tier 3	1	1.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	44.9%	42.7%	43.5%	1237	↓ low
19		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 3	1	1.1%	1-3-0	25.0%	37.6%	47.1%	46.5%	1169	↓ low
20		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 3	1	1.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	32.7%	40.0%	41.6%	1137	↓ low
21		Water Arisanna	Tier 2	1	1.1%	5-2-0	71.4%	57.4%	53.2%	51.3%	1251	—
22		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 3	1	1.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	30.3%	40.0%	40.8%	1134	↓ low
23		Water Kongming	Tier 3	1	1.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	37.1%	40.0%	44.3%	1122	↓ low
24		Water Wind Vanitas	Tier 2	1	1.1%	4-1-2	71.4%	65.4%	56.7%	56.3%	1320	—
25		Wind Beast	Tier 3	1	1.1%	2-4-1	35.7%	42.8%	41.8%	43.1%	1058	↓ low
26		Wind Kongming	Tier 3	1	1.1%	3-3-1	50.0%	53.0%	46.6%	49.6%	1200	↓ low
27		Wind Neos	Tier 3	1	1.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	43.8%	41.7%	42.9%	1175	↓ low
28		Wind Razorgale	Tier 3	1	1.1%	2-4-1	35.7%	42.7%	47.2%	48.1%	1279	—
29		Wind Silvie	Tier 3	1	1.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	40.9%	45.9%	44.7%	1149	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Penguin Mill 13 decks · 14.0%
• Slimes 11 decks · 11.8%
• Water Ravishing Mill 7 decks · 7.5%
• Wind Astra Cleric 7 decks · 7.5%
• Wind Allies 6 decks · 6.5%
• Water Tera Kongming 5 decks · 5.4%
• Wind Shadowstrike 5 decks · 5.4%
• Fire Exia 4 decks · 4.3%
• Water Allies 4 decks · 4.3%
• Fire Aggro 3 decks · 3.2%
• Fire Crux Mage 3 decks · 3.2%
• Fire Slimes 3 decks · 3.2%
• Water Tera Mage 3 decks · 3.2%
• Fire Arcane 2 decks · 2.2%
• Water Crux Mage 2 decks · 2.2%
• Water Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 2.2%
• Fire Arisanna 1 deck · 1.1%
• Fire Kongming 1 deck · 1.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.1%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 1.1%
• Water Arisanna 1 deck · 1.1%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.1%
• Water Kongming 1 deck · 1.1%
• Water Wind Vanitas 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Beast 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Kongming 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 1.1%
• Wind Silvie 1 deck · 1.1%