← Mortal Ambition - Indonesia Regional
Wind AlliesTier 2
at Mortal Ambition - Indonesia Regional
decks
6
(6.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
34
14-16-4
overall winrate
47.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.2%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
49.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1277
· median 1272
· range 1142–1444
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1058
Q1 1175
Q3 1399
1685
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 14.0% | 7 | 4-2-1 | 64.3% | 59.1% | 65.6% | +7.8 |
| Slimes | 11.8% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 39.3% | -6.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.5% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 50.5% | +0.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.5% | 7 | 1-5-1 | 21.4% | 31.8% | 38.0% | -6.0 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 5.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.3% | +3.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.4 |
| Fire Exia | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -5.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.2% | -4.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.5 |
| Fire Arisanna | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +10.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.9% | +19.0 |
| Wind Kongming | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.7 |
| Wind Neos | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
