← Mortal Ambition - Indonesia Regional

Wind AlliesTier 2

at Mortal Ambition - Indonesia Regional

decks
6 (6.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
34 14-16-4
overall winrate
47.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.2% avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
49.4% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1277 · median 1272 · range 1142–1444 (6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1058 Q1 1175 Q3 1399 1685
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Penguin Mill 14.0% 7 4-2-1 64.3% 59.1% 65.6% +7.8
Slimes 11.8% 5 2-3-0 40.0% 44.4% 39.3% -6.2
Water Ravishing Mill 7.5% 5 2-3-0 40.0% 44.4% 50.5% +0.3
Wind Astra Cleric 7.5% 7 1-5-1 21.4% 31.8% 38.0% -6.0
Water Tera Kongming 5.4% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 52.3% +3.7
Wind Shadowstrike 5.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.3% +8.4
Fire Exia 4.3% 0
Water Allies 4.3% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 46.9% -5.0
Fire Aggro 3.2% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 45.2% -4.6
Fire Crux Mage 3.2% 0
Fire Slimes 3.2% 0
Water Tera Mage 3.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.6% +13.8
Fire Arcane 2.2% 0
Water Crux Mage 2.2% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 2.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.3% -7.5
Fire Arisanna 1.1% 0
Fire Kongming 1.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.8% +10.9
Fire Luxem Assassin 1.1% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 1.1% 0
Water Arisanna 1.1% 0
Water Astra Cleric 1.1% 0
Water Kongming 1.1% 0
Water Wind Vanitas 1.1% 0
Wind Beast 1.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.9% +19.0
Wind Kongming 1.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.8% -14.7
Wind Neos 1.1% 0
Wind Razorgale 1.1% 0
Wind Silvie 1.1% 0
Decklists · 6 from this event

JSON: /api/events/12996/archetypes/Wind Allies