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Fire Exia JinTier 3

at The Card Shop PLT AMB Regionals 2024

decks
1 (0.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7 1-5-1
overall winrate
21.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
32.2% avg ELO -9.0 per match
expected value
40.9% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
39.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1005 · median 1005 · range 1005–1005 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
941 Q1 1169 Q3 1384 1685
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 21.3% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 35.1% -14.3
Wind Razorgale 13.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.5% -13.6
Wind Allies 9.2% 0
Water Allies 6.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.1% -6.3
Water Ravishing Mill 6.3% 0
Water Penguin Mill 5.7% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 4.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.9% -12.9
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.0% 0
Fire Aggro 3.4% 0
Fire Crux Mage 3.4% 0
Fire Slimes 3.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.8% -13.1
Fire Exia 2.3% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 2.3% 0
Fire Arcane 1.7% 0
Fire Crux Hybrid 1.1% 0
Water Tera Mage 1.1% 0
Fire Crux Merlin 0.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.3% +11.8
Fire Dawn of Ashes 0.6% 0
Fire Tera Kongming 0.6% 0
Fire Umbra Diana 0.6% 0
Water Arisanna 0.6% 0
Water Crux Mage 0.6% 0
Water Umbra Diana 0.6% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 0.6% 0
Wind Exia 0.6% 0
Wind Kongming 0.6% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 0.6% 0
Wind Overlord 0.6% 0
Wind Silvie 0.6% 0
Wind Slimes 0.6% 0
Wind Umbra Diana 0.6% 0
Wind Umbra Ranger 0.6% 0
Wind Umbra Tristan 0.6% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Exia Jin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/12998/archetypes/Fire Exia Jin