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Wind RazorgaleTier 2
at The Card Shop PLT AMB Regionals 2024
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 21.3% | 37 | 16-18-3 | 47.3% | 47.6% | 45.9% | -1.4 |
| Wind Allies | 9.2% | 20 | 8-9-3 | 47.5% | 47.9% | 47.4% | -1.0 |
| Water Allies | 6.9% | 13 | 6-7-0 | 46.2% | 47.1% | 49.5% | -0.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.3% | 9 | 2-6-1 | 27.8% | 34.6% | 39.7% | -4.8 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.7% | 13 | 5-6-2 | 46.2% | 47.1% | 42.3% | -3.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.6% | 13 | 5-7-1 | 42.3% | 44.1% | 40.9% | -3.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.0% | 10 | 4-3-3 | 55.0% | 53.6% | 50.7% | +0.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.4% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 28.6% | -13.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.4% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 52.0% | +1.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.4% | 14 | 5-7-2 | 42.9% | 44.4% | 42.5% | -3.1 |
| Fire Exia | 2.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.5% | -6.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.4% | +9.0 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.5% | +1.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 0.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 59.3% | +9.0 |
| Fire Exia Jin | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 0.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 40.6% | -9.1 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.2 |
| Wind Exia | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.2 |
| Wind Kongming | 0.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 55.0% | +4.8 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.5 |
| Wind Overlord | 0.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.2% | -15.2 |
| Wind Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.6% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -1.4 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.2 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.5 |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
Decklists · 23 from this event
The 23 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 6 mirror matches (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 6 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Ardent Cloudstriker, Unbroken Mustang, Dream Fairy. Losers more often ran: Aesan Protector, Zephyr, Cyclical Breeze.
Show all 36 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 20 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ardent Cloudstriker | +1.00 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.83 | 0 | 5 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +0.67 | 4 | 0 | 2 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.67 | 4 | 0 | 2 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.67 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.50 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.50 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Zephyr | -0.50 | 1 | 4 | 1 | |
| Diablerie | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Cyclical Breeze | -0.33 | 1 | 3 | 2 | |
| Orb of Sealing | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Bagua of Cardinal Fate | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -0.17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Three Visits | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| Crimson Protective Trinket | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Mnemonic Charm | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Kongming, Ascetic Vice | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 1 |