← The Card Shop PLT AMB Regionals 2024
Fire SlimesTier 2
at The Card Shop PLT AMB Regionals 2024
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 21.3% | 10 | 4-6-0 | 40.0% | 42.9% | 49.2% | -0.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 13.2% | 14 | 7-5-2 | 57.1% | 55.6% | 57.5% | +3.1 |
| Wind Allies | 9.2% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 30.6% | -14.5 |
| Water Allies | 6.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.1% | -14.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 62.8% | +12.3 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.1% | -7.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.2% | -3.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.9% | -13.6 |
| Fire Exia | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia Jin | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Wind Exia | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.1% | +19.4 |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 9 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 9 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unbroken Mustang | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Kind Beastcaller | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Red Slime | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdant Slime | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |