Fire SlimesTier 2
at Scry Games AMB Regionals
decks
5
(4.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
27
10-14-3
overall winrate
42.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.9%
avg ELO -1.9 per match
expected value
47.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1325
· median 1333
· range 1115–1563
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1162
Q3 1408
1685
40% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 10.4% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 60.9% | +7.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.4% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 45.9% | -2.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.7% | -2.2 |
| Slimes | 9.6% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 42.5% | -4.3 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 9.6% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 42.2% | -5.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.0% | -7.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +10.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.2% | -4.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.4 |
| Water Allies | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Jin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
