Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Scry Games AMB Regionals
decks
6
(5.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
41
18-15-8
overall winrate
53.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.9%
avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
50.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1318
· median 1308
· range 1141–1512
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1162
Q3 1408
1685
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
17% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 10.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.5% | +4.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.4% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -4.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.6% | 5 | 4-0-1 | 90.0% | 72.2% | 65.6% | +9.0 |
| Slimes | 9.6% | 6 | 0-4-2 | 16.7% | 30.0% | 33.5% | -8.8 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 9.6% | 5 | 2-1-2 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 54.6% | +2.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.7% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 56.5% | +4.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 37.5% | -12.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.9% | -6.8 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.4% | -8.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.2 |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Water Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.7 |
| Wind Exia | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Jin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Wind Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.4% | +19.9 |
