SlimesTier 2
at Scry Games AMB Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 10.4% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -0.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.4% | 7 | 3-4-0 | 42.9% | 45.5% | 52.7% | +1.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.6% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.2 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 9.6% | 10 | 0-8-2 | 10.0% | 21.4% | 31.4% | -8.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.7% | 7 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 54.6% | +2.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.0% | 8 | 2-3-3 | 43.8% | 45.8% | 51.4% | +0.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.0% | -5.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.2% | 6 | 4-0-2 | 83.3% | 70.0% | 66.5% | +8.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.3% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 57.5% | +4.3 |
| Fire Exia | 1.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +15.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 50.6% | +0.6 |
| Water Allies | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.3% | +3.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.1% | -0.7 |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 0.9% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 61.1% | +10.7 |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.5 |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.4 |
| Wind Jin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.9% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 49.7% | -0.3 |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.9% | +19.1 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 11 from this event
The 11 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Losers more often ran: Verdant Scepter.
No cards correlated with winning.
Show all 34 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 33 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdant Scepter | -1.00 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Ethereal Slime | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Gather Slimes | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Seeking Shot | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Ears | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Key Slime Pudding | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Vampiric Slime | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Kraal, Stonescale Tyrant | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Green Slime | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Spellshield: Tera | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Invective Instruction | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime King | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Lustrous Slime | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Slime Eruption | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Reprogram | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fan of Seven Debts | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kind Beastcaller | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nascent Blast | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |