Water SlimesTier 2
at Scry Games AMB Regionals
decks
1
(0.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-2-2
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.2%
avg ELO -2.4 per match
expected value
53.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1449
· median 1449
· range 1449–1449
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1162
Q3 1408
1685
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 10.4% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.7% | -5.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 9.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 38.9% | -10.7 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 9.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Jin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Slimes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
