Water Tera MageTier 3
at Scry Games AMB Regionals
decks
1
(0.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-4-1
overall winrate
35.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.6%
avg ELO +0.8 per match
expected value
46.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1159
· median 1159
· range 1159–1159
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1162
Q3 1408
1685
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 10.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.4 |
| Slimes | 9.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.5 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 9.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.6% | -5.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.5% | +6.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Jin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
