Wind Crux MageTier 3
at Scry Games AMB Regionals
decks
2
(1.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
5-5-4
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.0%
avg ELO +0.4 per match
expected value
47.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1283
· median 1283
· range 1227–1339
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1162
Q3 1408
1685
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 10.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.4% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.2% | -4.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 9.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.7% | -3.7 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 9.6% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 36.1% | -8.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.7% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +0.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +8.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Merlin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Jin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.1 |
| Wind Neos | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.3 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
