← Illusive TCG Online Regionals
SlimesTier 2
at Illusive TCG Online Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 12.2% | 7 | 2-4-1 | 35.7% | 40.9% | 50.0% | -0.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.0% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 45.9% | -2.6 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 9 | 2-5-2 | 33.3% | 38.5% | 44.4% | -2.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.9% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.8% | 7 | 2-3-2 | 42.9% | 45.5% | 50.7% | +0.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 6.7% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 48.7% | -0.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 7 | 5-1-1 | 78.6% | 68.2% | 60.6% | +5.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.2% | +1.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.3% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 53.8% | +2.4 |
| Water Allies | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.7 |
| Water Diana | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Wind Slimes | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Water Kongming | 1.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.4% | +3.2 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.7% | -3.7 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.2 |
Decklists · 12 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 6 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 6 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Resolute Stand, Nullifying Lantern, Escape the Wreckage. Losers more often ran: Beastbond Ears, Slime King, Slimeshield.
Show all 40 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 21 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +0.67 | 5 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.50 | 4 | 1 | 1 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +0.50 | 4 | 1 | 1 | |
| Beastbond Ears | -0.50 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| Slime King | -0.33 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | -0.33 | 1 | 3 | 2 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| Lustrous Slime | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 2 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 2 | |
| Slime Eruption | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 2 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| Stonescale Band | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| Gaia's Blessing | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| Royal Bear | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Slime Totem | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Red Slime | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Invigoration | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Beastbond Boots | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nascent Blast | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Entrancing Filigree | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ordinary Bear | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kind Beastcaller | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Verdant Slime | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 |