← Illusive TCG Online Regionals

Wind Astra ClericTier 1

at Illusive TCG Online Regionals

decks
8 (8.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
41 17-14-10
overall winrate
53.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.5% avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
50.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1420 · median 1395 · range 1189–1685 (8 pilots with an ELO rating)
972 Q1 1284 Q3 1447 1702
38% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 38% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 13.3% 6 3-3-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.9% -0.0
Water Penguin Mill 12.2% 7 1-2-4 42.9% 45.5% 47.9% -1.1
Water Ravishing Mill 10.0% 5 1-3-1 30.0% 38.9% 44.7% -3.0
Wind Allies 10.0% 5 2-0-3 70.0% 61.1% 54.8% +2.8
Wind Razorgale 7.8% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.9% -0.8
Fire Slimes 6.7% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 6.7% 4 2-1-1 62.5% 56.2% 53.8% +2.4
Fire Aggro 5.6% 0
Fire Crux Mage 3.3% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 51.6% +1.2
Water Allies 3.3% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 46.1% -3.7
Water Diana 2.2% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 54.6% +4.4
Water Tera Kongming 2.2% 0
Wind Slimes 2.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.5% +7.3
Fire Exia 1.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.8% -10.0
Water Kongming 1.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.7% +2.7
Water Luxem Assassin 1.1% 0
Water Silvie 1.1% 0
Water Umbra Ranger 1.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.1% -11.1
Wind Crux Mage 1.1% 0
Decklists · 8 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Astral Seal -1.00 0 1 0
Fragmented Spirit of Wind -1.00 0 1 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Heavenly Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Spellshield: Astra -1.00 0 1 0
Beseech the Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Necklace of Foresight +1.00 1 0 0
Gentle Respite +1.00 1 0 0
Backup Charger -1.00 0 1 0
Astarte, Celestial Dawn -1.00 0 1 0
Harvest Herbs -1.00 0 1 0
Turbo Charge -1.00 0 1 0
Scry the Skies +1.00 1 0 0
Chalice of Blood -1.00 0 1 0
Swift Recruit +1.00 1 0 0
Prima Materia -1.00 0 1 0
Fertile Grounds +1.00 1 0 0
Ingredient Pouch +1.00 1 0 0
Spirit of Serene Wind +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Three Visits +1.00 1 0 0
Indolent Leisure -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/14764/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric