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Wind AlliesTier 2
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Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 13.3% | 9 | 5-2-2 | 66.7% | 61.5% | 52.0% | +0.9 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 12.2% | 6 | 0-4-2 | 16.7% | 30.0% | 42.9% | -3.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.0% | 9 | 4-2-3 | 61.1% | 57.7% | 52.9% | +1.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.9% | 5 | 0-2-3 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 45.2% | -2.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.8% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 46.2% | -2.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 6.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 50.8% | +0.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +1.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +1.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +3.9 |
| Water Diana | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.2 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.1% | +5.0 |
| Fire Exia | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +3.9 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.6% | +5.7 |
Decklists · 9 from this event
The 9 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Veiling Breeze, Deflecting Edge, Verdigris Decree. Losers more often ran: Innervate Agility.
Show all 63 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 58 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veiling Breeze | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Bertha, Spry Howitzer | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lurking Assailant | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lena, Dorumegia's Herald | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Mortal Ambition | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Song of Nurturing | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Parcenet, Royal Maid | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Backstep | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Unrelenting Warden | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Skirting Step | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Heavy Swing | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Diablerie | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Vigilant Sentry | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Woodland Squirrels | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tristan, Underhanded | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Lone Mercenary | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Imperial Recruit | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Bulwark Sword | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Marksman Captain | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Oath of the Sakura | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Zephyr | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Winbless Rangefinder | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Evasive Maneuvers | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Charged Mannequin | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Manufacture Cell | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crimson Protective Trinket | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |