Regionals at The Banish Zone

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 1	11	17.5%	37-23-8	60.3%	56.3%	54.1%	53.0%	1316	—
2		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	7	11.1%	20-21-4	48.9%	46.6%	48.7%	47.6%	1335	—
3		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	5	7.9%	13-16-3	45.3%	48.5%	47.4%	49.7%	1294	—
4		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	5	7.9%	19-8-5	67.2%	57.3%	56.0%	52.7%	1349	↑ top
5		Slimes	Tier 2	4	6.3%	9-16-1	36.5%	39.5%	48.1%	47.7%	1234	—
6		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	4	6.3%	8-11-3	43.2%	51.1%	44.5%	47.5%	1261	—
7		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	3	4.8%	11-6-2	63.2%	63.7%	51.2%	53.4%	1360	↑ top
8		Water Crux Mage	Tier 1	3	4.8%	10-8-3	54.8%	49.2%	50.7%	49.6%	1400	↑ top
9		Wind Allies	Tier 1	3	4.8%	12-7-2	61.9%	56.8%	52.0%	50.5%	1366	↑ top
10		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	2	3.2%	3-6-2	36.4%	45.0%	42.8%	45.5%	1199	↓ low
11		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	3.2%	8-6-0	57.1%	49.8%	51.4%	49.4%	1326	—
12		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	2	3.2%	7-5-3	56.7%	65.1%	48.1%	52.8%	1278	—
13		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 3	1	1.6%	3-4-0	42.9%	49.9%	46.3%	47.9%	1199	↓ low
14		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	1.6%	2-2-2	50.0%	55.6%	52.0%	54.5%	1021	↓ low
15		Fire Lorraine	Tier 3	1	1.6%	3-4-0	42.9%	48.8%	46.2%	49.4%	1205	↓ low
16		Fire Silvie	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-5-0	16.7%	44.0%	41.7%	48.7%	1192	↓ low
17		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 3	1	1.6%	3-4-0	42.9%	45.3%	45.9%	46.4%	1152	↓ low
18		Water Allies	Tier 3	1	1.6%	4-4-0	50.0%	43.7%	47.6%	45.8%	1262	—
19		Water Crux Merlin	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-5-0	16.7%	44.6%	40.8%	45.9%	989	↓ low
20		Water Diana	Tier 2	1	1.6%	3-4-1	43.8%	40.2%	51.2%	48.6%	1402	↑ top
21		Water Slimes	Tier 2	1	1.6%	4-2-1	64.3%	52.9%	55.5%	54.4%	1385	↑ top
22		Wind Arcane	Tier 3	1	1.6%	0-3-1	12.5%	31.4%	41.0%	41.1%	1040	↓ low
23		Wind Exia	Tier 3	1	1.6%	0-4-1	10.0%	31.6%	40.5%	41.0%	1058	↓ low
24		Wind Overlord	Tier 3	1	1.6%	3-4-0	42.9%	52.0%	44.9%	47.2%	1059	↓ low
25		Wind Tera Silvie	Tier 3	1	1.6%	0-5-0	0.0%	26.9%	35.7%	38.6%	1113	↓ low
26		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 3	1	1.6%	3-4-0	42.9%	40.9%	46.7%	46.0%	1381	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Penguin Mill 11 decks · 17.5%
• Wind Razorgale 7 decks · 11.1%
• Fire Slimes 5 decks · 7.9%
• Wind Shadowstrike 5 decks · 7.9%
• Slimes 4 decks · 6.3%
• Wind Astra Cleric 4 decks · 6.3%
• Fire Crux Mage 3 decks · 4.8%
• Water Crux Mage 3 decks · 4.8%
• Wind Allies 3 decks · 4.8%
• Water Astra Cleric 2 decks · 3.2%
• Water Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 3.2%
• Water Ravishing Mill 2 decks · 3.2%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Lorraine 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Silvie 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Crux Merlin 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Diana 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Slimes 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Exia 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Overlord 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Tera Silvie 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 1.6%