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Fire Umbra RangerTier 3
at Regionals at The Banish Zone
decks
1
(1.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-4-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.3%
avg ELO -2.4 per match
expected value
45.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1152
· median 1152
· range 1152–1152
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
976
Q1 1200
Q3 1383
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 17.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +0.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.6% | -21.5 |
| Water Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
