← Regionals at The Banish Zone
Water AlliesTier 3
at Regionals at The Banish Zone
decks
1
(1.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
4-4-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.7%
avg ELO -3.0 per match
expected value
47.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1262
· median 1262
· range 1262–1262
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
976
Q1 1200
Q3 1383
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 17.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -2.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -15.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -16.0 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
