← Regionals at The Banish Zone
Water SlimesTier 2
at Regionals at The Banish Zone
decks
1
(1.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-2-1
overall winrate
64.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.9%
avg ELO +1.5 per match
expected value
55.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1385
· median 1385
· range 1385–1385
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
976
Q1 1200
Q3 1383
1656
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 17.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -18.0 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.6% | -8.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Fire Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Slimes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
