← Regionals at The Banish Zone
Water DianaTier 2
at Regionals at The Banish Zone
decks
1
(1.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
3-4-1
overall winrate
43.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.2%
avg ELO -4.7 per match
expected value
51.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1402
· median 1402
· range 1402–1402
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
976
Q1 1200
Q3 1383
1656
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 17.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.1% | +12.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 11.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.9% | -16.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.9% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 39.9% | -9.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.9 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Diana decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
