← NorCal Regionals 2025 Santa Clara
Wind Astra ClericTier 1
at NorCal Regionals 2025 Santa Clara
decks
8
(9.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
43
18-18-7
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.2%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
50.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1379
· median 1351
· range 1184–1616
(8 pilots with an ELO rating)
1070
Q1 1193
Q3 1429
1678
38% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 18.5% | 7 | 3-4-0 | 42.9% | 45.5% | 44.4% | -2.8 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 12.3% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 53.5% | +1.8 |
| Slimes | 8.6% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 42.9% | -4.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.4% | 6 | 2-2-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -1.6 |
| Wind Allies | 7.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Allies | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.3% | +14.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.9% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.6% | +3.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.2% | +4.6 |
| Fire Exia | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.2% | -20.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.7% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.1% | -2.2 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.8 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.0% | -19.2 |
| Water Arisanna | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.9 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 8 from this event
The 8 public Wind Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
