SlimesTier 2
at Ascent Utrecht
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 15.1% | 19 | 6-10-3 | 39.5% | 41.3% | 48.1% | -0.7 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 11.4% | 7 | 2-5-0 | 28.6% | 36.4% | 45.0% | -2.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.4% | 9 | 3-5-1 | 38.9% | 42.3% | 49.4% | -0.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.6% | 4 | 1-1-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.0% | -3.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.6% | 9 | 5-3-1 | 61.1% | 57.7% | 74.1% | +11.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.4% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 29.4% | -15.3 |
| Water Allies | 5.4% | 8 | 3-5-0 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 42.1% | -3.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.8% | 8 | 1-3-4 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 48.0% | -1.0 |
| Wind Allies | 4.2% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.7% | +2.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.5% | +14.9 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 4 | 2-0-2 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 74.0% | +15.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 1.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.3% | -2.0 |
| Fire Exia | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.1% | +4.9 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -18.0 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.4 |
| Fire Astra Arisanna | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.2% | +4.9 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Overlord | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.4 |
| Water Arisanna | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 66.4% | +26.2 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.4 |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.6% | -3.8 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.6% | +16.9 |
| Water Neos | 0.6% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 73.8% | +17.8 |
| Water Silvie | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.3 |
| Water Slimes | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.3 |
| Wind Overlord | 0.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.1% | -17.2 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Wind Tonoris | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.2% | -18.0 |
Decklists · 16 from this event
The 16 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Lustrous Slime, Slime Eruption. Losers more often ran: Unbroken Mustang, Kind Beastcaller, Scavenging Raccoon.
Show all 46 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 38 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ethereal Slime | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Horn of Beastcalling | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Kind Beastcaller | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lustrous Slime | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Nascent Blast | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Slime Eruption | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Stonescale Band | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Mechanical Hare | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Academy Guide | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vampiric Slime | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Key Slime Pudding | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Green Slime | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime Totem | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Verdant Scepter | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Verdant Slime | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Slime's Blessing | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime King | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Beastbond Ears | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |