Wind Astra ClericTier 1
at Ascent Utrecht
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 15.1% | 12 | 4-6-2 | 41.7% | 43.8% | 39.9% | -4.3 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 11.4% | 19 | 7-8-4 | 47.4% | 47.8% | 44.0% | -2.3 |
| Slimes | 9.6% | 9 | 5-3-1 | 61.1% | 57.7% | 50.6% | +0.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.6% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 40.3% | -5.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.6% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 44.5% | -2.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.4% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 39.0% | -6.4 |
| Water Allies | 5.4% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 29.8% | -11.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.8% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 62.6% | +8.1 |
| Wind Allies | 4.2% | 7 | 6-1-0 | 85.7% | 72.7% | 66.3% | +8.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.0 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 58.0% | +5.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.2% | -22.1 |
| Fire Exia | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.2 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 27.0% | -22.1 |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dawn of Ashes | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
| Fire Astra Arisanna | 0.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.0% | +12.5 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -2.3 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Fire Silvie | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 32.7% | -27.7 |
| Overlord | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
| Water Arisanna | 0.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.4% | +4.3 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 0.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 36.8% | -9.9 |
| Water Slimes | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.4 |
| Wind Cats | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Wind Exia | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Wind Overlord | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tonoris | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.2 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.9% | +4.7 |
Decklists · 14 from this event
The 14 public Wind Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Stifling Trap, Astral Seal, Beseech the Winds. Losers more often ran: Swift Recruit, Mnemonic Charm, Dawn's Reversal.
Show all 39 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 31 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barter Herbs | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Indolent Leisure | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Cometfall | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Horticounter | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Lunar Seer | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mnemonic Charm | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Astral Seal | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Wind | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Spellshield: Astra | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Necklace of Foresight | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Gentle Respite | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Scry the Stars | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nurture Crops | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fertile Grounds | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Spirit of Serene Wind | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nascent Barrier | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Three Visits | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Dawn's Reversal | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Meteor Strike | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Prima Materia | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Potion of Healing | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Harvest Herbs | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |