Wind Astra ClericTier 1
at Ascent Melbourne
decks
16
(8.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
132
59-57-16
overall winrate
50.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.1%
avg ELO -0.3 per match
expected value
51.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1373
· median 1365
· range 1055–1702
(16 pilots with an ELO rating)
972
Q1 1204
Q3 1407
1702
31% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
12% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 10.4% | 12 | 4-5-3 | 45.8% | 46.9% | 49.0% | -0.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.7% | 13 | 6-6-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.0% | +1.7 |
| Wind Allies | 7.7% | 8 | 6-1-1 | 81.2% | 70.8% | 69.4% | +9.3 |
| Water Allies | 7.1% | 12 | 4-7-1 | 37.5% | 40.6% | 44.2% | -2.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.1% | 9 | 3-5-1 | 38.9% | 42.3% | 38.7% | -5.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.0% | 10 | 8-1-1 | 85.0% | 75.0% | 71.8% | +9.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.5% | 9 | 4-4-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -1.4 |
| Slimes | 5.5% | 8 | 5-3-0 | 62.5% | 58.3% | 58.2% | +4.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.3% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.3% | -4.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 37.9% | -9.0 |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 2.2% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 34.7% | -9.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.6% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 58.6% | +5.5 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.6% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 28.0% | -16.4 |
| Water Fractal | 1.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +2.7 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 32.1% | -28.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.1% | +3.0 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.1% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.6% | -8.1 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.2% | -23.7 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.1% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -0.8 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 60.0% | +9.6 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Arisanna | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.4 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.3 |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 0.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.1% | +11.7 |
| Fire Overlord | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 0.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 30.7% | -18.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Razorgale | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 68.4% | +29.4 |
| Water Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Water Polkhawk | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 31.0% | -30.3 |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Tristan | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Wind Beast | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.4 |
| Wind Overlord | 0.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.1 |
| Wind Silvie | 0.5% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.1 |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.6% | +18.5 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.5% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 35.5% | -9.2 |
