← Philippine Regionals Hosted by Gamersshop and Powered by Heralds Peak
Fire ArcaneTier 2
at Philippine Regionals Hosted by Gamersshop and Powered by Heralds Peak
decks
3
(2.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19
7-11-1
overall winrate
39.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.5%
avg ELO -3.3 per match
expected value
46.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1187
· median 1187
· range 1159–1215
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1054
Q1 1169
Q3 1355
1685
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 25.0% | 9 | 3-5-1 | 38.9% | 42.3% | 41.2% | -4.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 42.8% | -5.3 |
| Fire Erupting | 9.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 9.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Water Allies | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.5 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.3 |
| Wind Neos | 4.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.3 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Zander | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
