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Water Astra ClericTier 2
at Philippine Regionals Hosted by Gamersshop and Powered by Heralds Peak
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 25.0% | 11 | 2-6-3 | 31.8% | 36.7% | 39.2% | -4.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.2% | -13.2 |
| Fire Erupting | 9.3% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 40.1% | -6.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 9.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 7.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.7% | -3.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 4.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.3 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.0% | -14.4 |
| Fire Neos | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +17.0 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Zander | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.3 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 29.7% | -15.2 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 54 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 54 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Song of Frost | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Barter Herbs | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Convalescent Tonic | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Benevolent Battle Priest | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Caretaker Drone | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Peaceful Reunion | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spellshield: Astra | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dahlia, Idyllic Dreamer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flash Freeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stream of Consciousness | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stillwater Patrol | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Prototype Staff | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fracturize | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Awakened Deacon | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Frostsworn Paladin | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Harvest Herbs | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fractal of Snow | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deep Sea Fractal | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lunete, Frostbinder Priest | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fractal of Insight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Geni, Gifted Mechanist | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cometfall | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wand of Frost | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Conjure Downpour | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Frostbind | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Knowledge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystalline Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Exorcise Curses | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Claude, Fated Visionary | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tactical Retreat | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cleric Robes | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Astra Sight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scry the Stars | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Seasprite Diver | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scepter of Lumina | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fractal of Intrusion | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rimesoul Bishop | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Frostbinder Apostle | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Foraging Servant | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Perfect Repulsion | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Temporal Spectrometer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Refracting Missile | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |