← Philippine Regionals Hosted by Gamersshop and Powered by Heralds Peak
Water Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Philippine Regionals Hosted by Gamersshop and Powered by Heralds Peak
decks
1
(0.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-2-1
overall winrate
64.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.0%
avg ELO +4.5 per match
expected value
53.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1668
· median 1668
· range 1668–1668
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1054
Q1 1169
Q3 1355
1685
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 25.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.2 |
| Fire Erupting | 9.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 9.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 7.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -13.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 4.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Zander | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
