← Philippine Regionals Hosted by Gamersshop and Powered by Heralds Peak
Fire Neos TonorisTier 3
at Philippine Regionals Hosted by Gamersshop and Powered by Heralds Peak
decks
1
(0.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-5-0
overall winrate
28.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.0%
avg ELO -4.5 per match
expected value
45.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1143
· median 1143
· range 1143–1143
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1054
Q1 1169
Q3 1355
1685
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 25.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.5% | -9.1 |
| Fire Erupting | 9.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 9.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.2 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 4.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Zander | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Neos Tonoris decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.