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Fire Neos TonorisTier 3

at Philippine Regionals Hosted by Gamersshop and Powered by Heralds Peak

decks
1 (0.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7 2-5-0
overall winrate
28.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.0% avg ELO -4.5 per match
expected value
45.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1143 · median 1143 · range 1143–1143 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1054 Q1 1169 Q3 1355 1685
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Allies 25.0% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.8% -0.2
Fire Crux Mage 10.2% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 40.5% -9.1
Fire Erupting 9.3% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 51.1% +1.0
Fire Umbra Ranger 9.3% 0
Water Allies 7.4% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 6.5% 0
Fire Aggro 5.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.5% -15.2
Water Astra Cleric 5.6% 0
Wind Neos 4.6% 0
Fire Arcane 2.8% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 2.8% 0
Fire Neos 1.9% 0
Water Crux Mage 1.9% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 0.9% 0
Fire Umbra Diana 0.9% 0
Fire Zander 0.9% 0
Water Crux Lorraine 0.9% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 0.9% 0
Wind Silvie 0.9% 0
Wind Tera Silvie 0.9% 0
Wind Umbra Ranger 0.9% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Neos Tonoris decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/2044/archetypes/Fire Neos Tonoris