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Fire Crux MageTier 1
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Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 25.0% | 15 | 10-5-0 | 66.7% | 63.2% | 61.7% | +4.7 |
| Fire Erupting | 9.3% | 11 | 8-2-1 | 77.3% | 70.0% | 68.5% | +8.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 9.3% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 53.2% | +2.0 |
| Water Allies | 7.4% | 8 | 3-3-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.4% | -0.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.5% | 7 | 2-4-1 | 35.7% | 40.9% | 46.2% | -1.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.2 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.8% | +13.2 |
| Wind Neos | 4.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.7% | +15.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 57.2% | +5.3 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 69.1% | +12.2 |
| Fire Neos | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -15.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.5% | +12.0 |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 0.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.5% | +9.1 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Zander | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.3 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.2 |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.5 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.1% | -19.0 |
Decklists · 11 from this event
The 11 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 5 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 5 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Savage Slash, Quicksilver Grail, Focused Flames. Losers more often ran: Tithe Proclamation, Cremation Ritual, Spurn to Ash.
Show all 40 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 23 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tithe Proclamation | -0.60 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| Savage Slash | +0.60 | 3 | 0 | 2 | |
| Cremation Ritual | -0.60 | 0 | 3 | 2 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.60 | 3 | 0 | 2 | |
| Sword of Adversity | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Spurn to Ash | -0.40 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Incarnate Majesty | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Focused Flames | +0.40 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| Flame-Rune Swordsman | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Fast Cure | -0.40 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
| Orb of Regret | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Library Witch | +0.40 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| Incendiary Fractal | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Prismatic Edge | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Exorcise Curses | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| Crux Sight | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| Disintegrate | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Spark Alight | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Hasty Messenger | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| Chalice of Blood | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Vanish from Sight | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chilling Touch | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Azure Protective Trinket | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tether in Flames | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rending Flames | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystal of Empowerment | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Purge in Flames | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Devastating Blow | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 1 |