← Philippine Regionals Hosted by Gamersshop and Powered by Heralds Peak
Fire NeosTier 3
at Philippine Regionals Hosted by Gamersshop and Powered by Heralds Peak
decks
2
(1.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
0-6-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
22.5%
avg ELO -14.7 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
40.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1231
· median 1231
· range 1131–1331
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1054
Q1 1169
Q3 1355
1685
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 25.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -16.0 |
| Fire Erupting | 9.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 9.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Water Allies | 7.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.4 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -17.0 |
| Wind Neos | 4.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Zander | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
