← 20250316 貓腳印-桃園店 HVN REGIONALS

Water Tera SilvieTier 3

at 20250316 貓腳印-桃園店 HVN REGIONALS

decks
1 (0.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 0-4-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
28.4% avg ELO -13.8 per match
expected value
40.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 945 · median 945 · range 945–945 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
807 Q1 1211 Q3 1394 1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Fractal 13.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.9% -11.3
Water Genbu 11.7% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 10.6% 0
Fire Exia 5.6% 0
Wind Allies 5.6% 0
Fire Aggro 5.0% 0
Fire Crux Mage 5.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.6% -16.6
Fire Suzaku 4.4% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 3.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.1% -12.7
Wind Byakko 3.3% 0
Fire Seiryuu 2.8% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 2.8% 0
Wind Seiryuu 2.8% 0
Fire Cinderbloom Combo 2.2% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 2.2% 0
Water Penguin Mill 2.2% 0
Wind Razorgale 2.2% 0
Fire Arcane 1.7% 0
Fire Luxem Tamer 1.7% 0
Water Neos 1.7% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 1.1% 0
Fire Slimes 1.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.8% -14.7
Slimes 1.1% 0
Water Allies 1.1% 0
Water Tera Cleric 1.1% 0
Water Tera Mage 1.1% 0
Wind Beast 1.1% 0
Fire Byakko 0.6% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 0.6% 0
Fire Crux Merlin 0.6% 0
Fire Triskit 0.6% 0
Water Astra Cleric 0.6% 0
Water Crux Lorraine 0.6% 0
Water Crux Mage 0.6% 0
Water Dawn of Ashes 0.6% 0
Water Diana 0.6% 0
Water Kongming 0.6% 0
Water Tera Diao Chan 0.6% 0
Water Wind Vanitas 0.6% 0
Wind Lorraine 0.6% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Tera Silvie decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/21318/archetypes/Water Tera Silvie