← 20250316 貓腳印-桃園店 HVN REGIONALS
Wind RazorgaleTier 2
at 20250316 貓腳印-桃園店 HVN REGIONALS
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 13.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.4 |
| Water Genbu | 11.7% | 4 | 1-1-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -1.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.9 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -6.0 |
| Wind Allies | 5.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.3% | -5.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.7% | -19.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.2% | -17.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.3% | +3.7 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.8% | -14.6 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Tamer | 1.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.6 |
| Water Neos | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +2.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.8 |
| Water Allies | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.7% | -16.6 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +17.0 |
| Fire Triskit | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Diao Chan | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.8 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 31 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 31 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windrider Mage | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cyclical Breeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zhou Yu, Enlightened Sage | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Primeval Ritual | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ardent Cloudstriker | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Break Apart | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brackish Lutist | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Baby Green Slime | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Three Visits | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr Assistant | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Art of War | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |