← 20250316 貓腳印-桃園店 HVN REGIONALS
Wind AlliesTier 1
at 20250316 貓腳印-桃園店 HVN REGIONALS
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 13.9% | 11 | 2-7-2 | 27.3% | 33.3% | 45.3% | -2.1 |
| Water Genbu | 11.7% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +3.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.6% | 12 | 5-5-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.3 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 39.4% | -6.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.3% | +3.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 61.5% | +6.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.4% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 66.1% | +12.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.3% | -14.1 |
| Wind Byakko | 3.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.6% | +15.9 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.2% | +15.6 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 2.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.8% | +12.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 2.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.7% | +5.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.3% | -3.5 |
| Fire Luxem Tamer | 1.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
| Water Neos | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.5% | -7.2 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.4 |
| Wind Beast | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 0.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.5% | +15.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.8 |
| Fire Triskit | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Water Tera Diao Chan | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.2 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 10 from this event
The 10 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 55 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 55 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scepter of Fascination | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Prototype Pistol | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lurking Assailant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Charged Mannequin | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Diao Chan, Enchantress | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windspire Crest | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ceremonial Stormblade | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zhang Fei, Spirited Steel | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mortal Ambition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Maiden of Reverent Gale | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Parcenet, Royal Maid | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vanishing Shot | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Break Apart | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brackish Lutist | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Oath of the Sakura | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ma Chao, Lupine Huntress | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windpiercer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Skirting Step | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Ears | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |