← 20250316 貓腳印-桃園店 HVN REGIONALS
Wind ByakkoTier 2
at 20250316 貓腳印-桃園店 HVN REGIONALS
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 13.9% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.5% | -2.0 |
| Water Genbu | 11.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.6% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 26.0% | -15.4 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.8% | -1.6 |
| Wind Allies | 5.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.4% | -15.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.2% | +1.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.4% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 29.9% | -15.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 69.9% | +19.1 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 2.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 40.7% | -6.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +4.5 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.7% | -3.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Fire Luxem Tamer | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.9% | -5.0 |
| Water Allies | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.1% | -20.7 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.6% | -5.4 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 1.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.7% | -7.9 |
| Fire Byakko | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
| Fire Triskit | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Diao Chan | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Wind Byakko decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Stifling Trap, Veiling Breeze, Verdigris Decree. Losers more often ran: Cyclonic Fatestone, Winds of Destiny, Byakko's Command.
Show all 68 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 62 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyclonic Fatestone | -1.00 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Winds of Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fatestone of Revelations | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fatestone of Progress | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Effigy of Gaia | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Dungeon Guide | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Boots | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Bell of the Chosen | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Journey's Beginning | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Incandescent Reliquary | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Geldus, Terror of Dorumegia | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mnemonic Charm | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Feathery Tune | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lumen Borealis | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Melodious Flute | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Advent of the Shenju | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseeched Fatestone | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Felicitous Flock | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Whirlwind Threads | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Pluming Crescendo | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fated Keepsake | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wingpeak Patriarch | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Byakko's Command | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Displace | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Green Slime | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Capricious Lynx | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sun Quan, Sealbearer | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wildgrowth Fatestone | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Silverback | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Glorious Presence | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ma Chao, Lupine Huntress | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brackish Lutist | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |