Wind AlliesTier 1
at National-SEA 2025
decks
36
(13.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
274
136-116-22
overall winrate
53.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.5%
avg ELO +0.5 per match
expected value
53.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1374
· median 1367
· range 1122–1543
(36 pilots with an ELO rating)
1028
Q1 1294
Q3 1463
1736
31% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
22% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.9% | 46 | 26-19-1 | 57.6% | 57.0% | 57.6% | +2.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 42 | 17-16-9 | 51.2% | 51.1% | 48.8% | -0.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.9% | 41 | 23-18-0 | 56.1% | 55.6% | 52.3% | +0.8 |
| Water Genbu | 6.8% | 27 | 13-11-3 | 53.7% | 53.2% | 50.2% | +0.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.0% | 13 | 5-8-0 | 38.5% | 41.2% | 46.6% | -1.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.4% | 16 | 3-11-2 | 25.0% | 30.0% | 28.5% | -8.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 14 | 11-3-0 | 78.6% | 72.2% | 67.8% | +7.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.4% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 65.9% | +10.2 |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 9 | 6-3-0 | 66.7% | 61.5% | 60.2% | +4.7 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.3% | 17 | 2-11-4 | 23.5% | 28.6% | 32.5% | -6.9 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.6% | +4.9 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 1.5% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 71.4% | +16.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.1% | 10 | 5-4-1 | 55.0% | 53.6% | 46.5% | -1.6 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.2% | -5.1 |
| Wind Exia | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.8% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 54.1% | +2.4 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.3% | +1.0 |
| Water Neos | 0.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.7% | -8.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.3% | -21.9 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | -3.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +5.9 |
| Fire Rai | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Byakko | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.1 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.7 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Wind Byakko | 0.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.0% | +13.4 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.4% | +1.8 |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.8% | -3.5 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.2% | +22.8 |
Decklists · 36 from this event
The 36 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
-
HenkieTheGoat
-
SRGamingFox
-
Freedom0212
-
BaguetteForDuel
-
CoLaChen
-
Inhenrychen1039
-
Yhj0127
-
MHL
-
itzShota
-
JimmyHuang
-
Zeke
-
TeamTrueTerry
-
therarely
-
TeamTrueIsaac
-
MOB
-
swallow5566
-
Jay1618033989
-
HONGZAI1022
-
Hm773
-
Sen
-
Muck1234
-
Hide
-
CTSrex
-
FarmerFred
-
Rytooooo
-
Goulai
-
Alick
-
KevinC
-
Hosea
-
Rex
-
SnowBall
-
Jidan
-
Forarty
-
CyverseSkippy
-
YueX2
-
Juunn
Mirror Analysis
In 31 mirror matches (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 7 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).
Winners more often ran: Scatter Essence, Reclaim, Nullifying Lantern. Losers more often ran: Evasive Maneuvers, Brackish Lutist, Huaji of Heaven's Rise.
Scatter Essence
Winning decks ran 1.3
copies on average,
losing decks 0.7.
Of 31 mirrors: the winner ran more in
12, the loser ran more in 4,
both ran the same in 15.
Reclaim
Winning decks ran 2.1
copies on average,
losing decks 1.7.
Of 31 mirrors: the winner ran more in
15, the loser ran more in 9,
both ran the same in 7.
Nullifying Lantern
Winning decks ran 0.6
copies on average,
losing decks 0.5.
Of 31 mirrors: the winner ran more in
14, the loser ran more in 9,
both ran the same in 8.
Deflecting Edge
Winning decks ran 1.2
copies on average,
losing decks 1.0.
Of 31 mirrors: the winner ran more in
13, the loser ran more in 9,
both ran the same in 9.
Windmill Engineer
Winning decks ran 1.7
copies on average,
losing decks 1.3.
Of 31 mirrors: the winner ran more in
10, the loser ran more in 6,
both ran the same in 15.
Mystic Purifier
Winning decks ran 0.9
copies on average,
losing decks 0.5.
Of 31 mirrors: the winner ran more in
9, the loser ran more in 5,
both ran the same in 17.
Evasive Maneuvers
Losing decks ran 1.3
copies on average,
winning decks 0.7.
Of 31 mirrors: the loser ran more in
14, the winner ran more in 5,
both ran the same in 12.
Brackish Lutist
Losing decks ran 1.3
copies on average,
winning decks 0.8.
Of 31 mirrors: the loser ran more in
14, the winner ran more in 6,
both ran the same in 11.
Huaji of Heaven's Rise
Losing decks ran 0.9
copies on average,
winning decks 0.6.
Of 31 mirrors: the loser ran more in
10, the winner ran more in 3,
both ran the same in 18.
Blanche, Sheltering Saint
Losing decks ran 2.1
copies on average,
winning decks 1.7.
Of 31 mirrors: the loser ran more in
14, the winner ran more in 7,
both ran the same in 10.
Sword of Seeking
Losing decks ran 0.8
copies on average,
winning decks 0.6.
Of 31 mirrors: the loser ran more in
11, the winner ran more in 5,
both ran the same in 15.
Hurricane Sweep
Losing decks ran 1.5
copies on average,
winning decks 1.0.
Of 31 mirrors: the loser ran more in
15, the winner ran more in 9,
both ran the same in 7.
Show all 114 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 94 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evasive Maneuvers | -0.29 | 5 | 14 | 1 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.26 | 12 | 4 | 1 | |
| Brackish Lutist | -0.26 | 6 | 14 | 1 | |
| Huaji of Heaven's Rise | -0.23 | 3 | 10 | 17 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.23 | 7 | 14 | 9 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -0.19 | 5 | 11 | 14 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | -0.19 | 9 | 15 | 4 | |
| Reclaim | +0.19 | 15 | 9 | 7 | |
| Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster | -0.19 | 9 | 15 | 6 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | -0.19 | 3 | 9 | 18 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | -0.16 | 9 | 14 | 5 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.16 | 14 | 9 | 6 | |
| Song of Nurturing | -0.16 | 7 | 12 | 6 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.16 | 7 | 12 | 3 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | -0.13 | 8 | 12 | 9 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +0.13 | 13 | 9 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | +0.13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.13 | 10 | 6 | 4 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -0.13 | 3 | 7 | 21 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +0.13 | 9 | 5 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | +0.13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +0.10 | 12 | 9 | 9 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.10 | 11 | 8 | 11 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | -0.10 | 10 | 13 | 8 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | -0.10 | 3 | 6 | 22 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | +0.10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| Shangxiang, Fierce Princess | -0.10 | 9 | 12 | 7 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -0.10 | 2 | 5 | 24 | |
| Second Wind | -0.10 | 9 | 12 | 7 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.10 | 3 | 6 | 21 | |
| Zephyr | -0.10 | 7 | 10 | 13 | |
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | +0.10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| Cry for Help | +0.10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lurking Assailant | -0.06 | 3 | 5 | 22 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | +0.06 | 10 | 8 | 5 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.06 | 11 | 9 | 4 | |
| Windpiercer | +0.06 | 6 | 4 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.06 | 7 | 5 | 17 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.06 | 10 | 8 | 13 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.06 | 9 | 11 | 11 | |
| Favorable Winds | +0.06 | 8 | 6 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | -0.06 | 5 | 7 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.06 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Squallbind Pounce | +0.06 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| Arrow Trap | -0.06 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Parcenet, Royal Maid | +0.06 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Esteemed Knight | +0.06 | 4 | 2 | 0 | |
| Yuan Shao, Crown General | +0.06 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | +0.06 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Disenchant | +0.06 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.03 | 6 | 5 | 20 | |
| Coronation Ceremony | +0.03 | 12 | 11 | 4 | |
| Rallied Advance | -0.03 | 10 | 11 | 9 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | +0.03 | 6 | 5 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.03 | 0 | 1 | 30 | |
| Prototype Pistol | +0.03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +0.03 | 11 | 10 | 4 | |
| Staggering Strike | -0.03 | 10 | 11 | 5 | |
| Extortion Scheme | +0.03 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.03 | 11 | 10 | 5 | |
| Charged Mannequin | +0.03 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | +0.03 | 4 | 3 | 0 | |
| Captain Archer | +0.03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Concealed Marksman | +0.03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Seeker's Rifle | +0.03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Displace | -0.03 | 2 | 3 | 1 | |
| Blastshot Pump | +0.03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Diana, Keen Huntress | +0.03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Yunzhou Cavalry | +0.03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Diana, Deadly Duelist | +0.03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Veiled Dash | +0.03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +0.03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Winbless Rangefinder | +0.03 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Skirting Step | +0.03 | 4 | 3 | 0 | |
| Drawn Blade | +0.03 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Ears | +0.03 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wind Cutter | -0.03 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ardent Cloudstriker | +0.03 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | +0.03 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eye of Argus | -0.03 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Manufacture Cell | -0.03 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Automated Gardener | -0.03 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Invective Instruction | -0.03 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cavalier Rescue | +0.03 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +0.03 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windwalker Boots | +0.03 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zander, Deft Executor | +0.03 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | +0.03 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | +0.03 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Surveil the Winds | +0.03 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.03 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | +0.03 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | +0.03 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zander, Prepared Scout | +0.03 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | +0.03 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Adept Swordmaster | -0.03 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Kongming, Wayward Maven | +0.03 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Usurp the Winds | +0.03 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ventus, Staff of Zephyrs | +0.03 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Axis Gale Scholar | +0.03 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Jadelight Protector | +0.03 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Seeking Shot | -0.03 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Opening Cut | -0.03 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.00 | 8 | 8 | 14 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +0.00 | 7 | 7 | 16 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +0.00 | 4 | 4 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 11 | 11 | 9 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | +0.00 | 4 | 4 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.00 | 5 | 5 | 0 | |
| Oath of the Sakura | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 |