Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at National-SEA 2025
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.9% | 15 | 4-10-1 | 30.0% | 34.2% | 40.9% | -3.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 11 | 1-8-2 | 18.2% | 26.7% | 28.7% | -9.3 |
| Wind Allies | 13.6% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 34.1% | -10.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.9% | 8 | 5-3-0 | 62.5% | 58.3% | 54.5% | +2.2 |
| Water Genbu | 6.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 50.4% | +0.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.0% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 42.6% | -4.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 48.4% | -1.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.7% | -22.9 |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.8% | +22.0 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.5% | -15.9 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 1.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.6% | -9.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 75.8% | +24.8 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 68.3% | +17.6 |
| Water Neos | 0.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.0% | -4.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Rai | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Byakko | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 9 from this event
The 9 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 27 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 27 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sunblessed Gazelle | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Winds of Destiny | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Draught of Stamina | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Parcenet, Royal Maid | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brackish Lutist | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Art of War | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseeched Fatestone | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |