Wind Astra ClericTier 1
at National-SEA 2025
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.9% | 30 | 10-12-8 | 46.7% | 47.1% | 43.3% | -2.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 22 | 9-6-7 | 56.8% | 55.8% | 55.3% | +2.0 |
| Wind Allies | 13.6% | 13 | 8-5-0 | 61.5% | 58.8% | 53.4% | +1.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.9% | 13 | 6-5-2 | 53.8% | 52.9% | 47.3% | -1.1 |
| Water Genbu | 6.8% | 8 | 2-5-1 | 31.2% | 37.5% | 37.8% | -5.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.4% | 9 | 0-8-1 | 5.6% | 19.2% | 12.9% | -17.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.6% | -8.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.4% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 57.4% | +4.2 |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 59.9% | +9.5 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.3% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 46.9% | -1.6 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.9% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -1.2 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.1% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 69.5% | +14.6 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.5% | -16.8 |
| Wind Exia | 1.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.6% | +4.2 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.8% | +7.4 |
| Water Neos | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.5% | +6.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.7% | +17.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Rai | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Byakko | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 47.1% | -2.8 |
| Wind Byakko | 0.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.4% | -5.8 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 16 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Astral Seal, Prima Materia. Losers more often ran: Dawn's Reversal, Meteor Strike, Beseech the Winds.
Show all 31 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astral Seal | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dawn's Reversal | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| Prima Materia | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spellshield: Astra | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Backup Charger | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Meteor Strike | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Lunar Conduit | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Potion of Healing | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Horticounter | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ravaging Tempest | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Gentle Respite | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regenerate | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Lunar Seer | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Wind | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scry the Stars | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Spirit of Serene Wind | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Nascent Barrier | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Indolent Leisure | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Disenchant | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 |