← Card's village Hong Kong regional
Fire Crux MerlinTier 2
at Card's village Hong Kong regional
decks
2
(2.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
0-6-1
overall winrate
7.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
25.4%
avg ELO -12.4 per match
expected value
38.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
38.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1140
· median 1140
· range 1107–1173
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1198
Q3 1365
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.6% | -15.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -17.9 |
| Hidden | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
| Fire Byakko | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
