← Card's village Hong Kong regional
Water Crux MageTier 3
at Card's village Hong Kong regional
decks
1
(1.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-3-1
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.8%
avg ELO -1.2 per match
expected value
44.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1338
· median 1338
· range 1338–1338
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1198
Q3 1365
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.9% | -3.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.2% | -2.9 |
| Hidden | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.1% | -4.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Water Allies | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
