← Card's village Hong Kong regional
Fire SuzakuTier 1
at Card's village Hong Kong regional
decks
5
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
32
18-13-1
overall winrate
57.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.9%
avg ELO +0.7 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1337
· median 1345
· range 1198–1538
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1198
Q3 1365
1730
40% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.0% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hidden | 8.0% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 32.3% | -13.2 |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.2% | +2.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -1.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.9% | +5.1 |
| Water Genbu | 6.0% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 48.0% | -1.2 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.9% | -24.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.5 |
| Water Fractal | 4.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.6% | +12.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.1% | +21.0 |
| Fire Suited | 3.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.4% | +10.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 1.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.1% | +15.5 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
