← Card's village Hong Kong regional
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Card's village Hong Kong regional
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.0% | 8 | 2-4-2 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 41.1% | -4.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.0% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 43.4% | -3.8 |
| Hidden | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.0% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 32.9% | -12.7 |
| Water Genbu | 6.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.4% | -2.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.1% | -5.1 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.0% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 32.7% | -11.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.3% | +3.2 |
| Water Fractal | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.9% | +13.3 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.8% | +3.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 7 from this event
The 7 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 37 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 37 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cry for Help | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Devouring Malice | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gloamspire Mantle | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shadowstrike | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sharpen Blade | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirelle, Schwartz Queen | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shadow Resonance | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |