← Card's village Hong Kong regional
Wind Crux LorraineTier 2
at Card's village Hong Kong regional
decks
2
(2.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
5-5-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.5%
avg ELO -3.3 per match
expected value
49.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1423
· median 1423
· range 1340–1507
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1064
Q1 1198
Q3 1365
1730
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hidden | 8.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.4% | -15.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.0% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 49.7% | -0.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.0% | -22.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Water Fractal | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Fire Byakko | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
