← GRAND ARCHIVE MELAKA REGIONAL OCTOBER 26
Wind Crux LorraineTier 3
at GRAND ARCHIVE MELAKA REGIONAL OCTOBER 26
decks
2
(1.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
2-5-4
overall winrate
36.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.4%
avg ELO -4.2 per match
expected value
44.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1342
· median 1342
· range 1279–1405
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
999
Q1 1219
Q3 1430
1619
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.3% | -18.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.9% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.7% | +7.6 |
| Water Genbu | 5.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 40.9% | -8.8 |
| Water Allies | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.8 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.7 |
| Wind Luxem Guo Jia | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Wind Overlord | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
