← GRAND ARCHIVE MELAKA REGIONAL OCTOBER 26
Wind RazorgaleTier 2
at GRAND ARCHIVE MELAKA REGIONAL OCTOBER 26
decks
2
(1.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
7-7-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.1%
avg ELO +0.0 per match
expected value
50.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1240
· median 1240
· range 1200–1280
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
999
Q1 1219
Q3 1430
1619
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.9% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 38.6% | -8.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.2% | +13.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.5% | +2.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -1.8 |
| Water Genbu | 5.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 60.1% | +9.7 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.2% | +10.7 |
| Wind Allies | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.7 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Guo Jia | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.6 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |