← GRAND ARCHIVE MELAKA REGIONAL OCTOBER 26
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at GRAND ARCHIVE MELAKA REGIONAL OCTOBER 26
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.9% | 11 | 6-3-2 | 63.6% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +4.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.0% | -20.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.9% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 34.4% | -10.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.9% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.9% | +3.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.9% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 66.6% | +8.8 |
| Water Genbu | 5.8% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 44.8% | -2.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 5 | 0-3-2 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 34.5% | -8.9 |
| Water Allies | 4.3% | 3 | 0-1-2 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.5% | -2.6 |
| Water Fractal | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.7 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 2.9% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 59.4% | +9.1 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 50.9% | +0.6 |
| Fire Exia | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.6 |
| Fire Suited | 2.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.3% | -14.2 |
| Wind Allies | 2.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.2% | -2.7 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.9% | +23.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.5% | -14.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.3% | -7.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.9% | +1.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Guo Jia | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.6 |
| Wind Overlord | 0.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.5% | -5.3 |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 10 from this event
The 10 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 11 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 11 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleansing Reunion | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirelle, Schwartz Queen | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |