Fire AetherwingTier 3
at Tainan Regional
decks
1
(0.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-4-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.1%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
47.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1237
· median 1237
· range 1237–1237
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
807
Q1 1226
Q3 1393
1694
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.7% | -15.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.8% | +13.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.4% | -5.7 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
