Wind Astra ClericTier 1
at Tainan Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 12.6% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 50.5% | +0.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.9% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.1% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 51.6% | +0.9 |
| Water Genbu | 5.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.8% | +11.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +0.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 41.2% | -6.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.4% | +1.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +1.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.7 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.4% | +8.1 |
| Fire Suited | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.5% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 57.8% | +5.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.7% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 66.2% | +12.1 |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.4 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.9 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.9 |
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mnemonic Charm | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Astral Seal | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Humpty Dumpty, Fate's Fall | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spellshield: Astra | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dawn's Reversal | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tend the Land | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Meteor Strike | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lunar Conduit | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regenerate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Prima Materia | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fertile Grounds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Potion of Healing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Indolent Leisure | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Horticounter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lunar Seer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |